Saylor Hints Strategy Bought More Bitcoin

Strategy executive chair Michael Saylor has hinted that his company bought more Bitcoin despite a market tumble over the weekend that has now pushed his company’s Bitcoin bet into a 10% loss.  “The Orange March Continues,” Saylor posted to X on Sunday, alongside a chart showing Strategy’s roughly $52 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) purchases…

If one trader can force the outcome of a prediction market, it shouldn’t be tradable

As platforms such as Polymarket gain mainstream visibility during U.S. election cycles and major geopolitical events, their prices are increasingly cited as real-time signals of truth. The pitch is seductive: let people put money behind beliefs, and the market will converge on reality faster than polls or pundits. But that promise collapses when a contract…

Tokenized Deposits Gain Ground as Banks Move Money Onchain

Banks are exploring tokenized deposits as they test ways to move commercial bank money onto blockchain-based payment and settlement infrastructure, according to a new report from real-world asset data platform RWA.io The report, which was authored by RWA.io with contributions from industry participants including UK Finance, Citi, BNY, JPMorgan’s Kinexys, Standard Chartered, ABN Amro and…

Kalshi CEO Fires Back against Arizona Criminal Charges as ‘Total Overstep‘

The prediction markets co-founder said that the company would “abide by court decisions” but signaled that the charges were based partly on political bias and media attention. Tarek Mansour, co-founder and CEO of prediction markets platform Kalshi, has pushed back against criminal charges filed by Arizona authorities this week, claiming that they were a “total…

Prediction Markets Bet Bitcoin Will Drop Below $55K in 2026

Bitcoin (BTC) may go as low as $55,000 in 2026 as the market lacks bullish catalysts amid macroeconomic uncertainties.  Key takeaways: BTC price has a 65%-71% chance of dropping below $55,000 before Dec. 31, according to prediction markets. Bettors don’t expect Strategy to sell its BTC holdings in 2026.  Whale selling and negative ETF flows…

BTC Performance Driven By Individuals While Central Banks Drive Gold Price

The divergence between gold and Bitcoin (BTC) in 2026 can be explained by two distinct segments of buyers, according to Stephen Coltman, head of macro at crypto exchange-traded product (ETP) provider 21Shares. Gold’s rally over the last three years has been primarily fueled by central bank buying, while Bitcoin is more widely held by individuals…

The SEC explains how it’s viewing a crypto security: State of Crypto

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and Commodity Futures Trading Commission published interpretive guidance explaining how they might define what is or isn’t a security in crypto; the CFTC also issued a no-action letter for a non-custodial wallet provider to facilitate derivatives and prediction markets transactions; Arizona is filing criminal charges against a prediction market…

Fidelity Requests More Clarity From SEC on Tokenized Assets and DeFi

Fidelity Investments told the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on Friday that it should continue to develop the regulatory framework for broker-dealers to offer, custody and trade crypto assets on alternative trading systems (ATS). The letter from the US’ third-largest asset manager was in reply to a call for comments earlier this month by…

Bitcoin’s Growing US Stocks Correlation Triggers 50% BTC Price Crash Setup

Bitcoin (BTC) erased much of its US-Iran war-driven gains this week, moving back in sync with the broader downtrend in risk assets, mainly US equities. Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s positive flip in S&P 500 correlation has historically preceded average declines of around 50% since 2018. BTC is exposed to a broader risk-asset sell-off due to rising…

Bitcoin’s Growing US Stocks Correlation Triggers 50% BTC Price Crash Setup

Bitcoin (BTC) erased much of its US-Iran war-driven gains this week, moving back in sync with the broader downtrend in risk assets, mainly US equities. Key takeaways: Bitcoin’s positive flip in S&P 500 correlation has historically preceded average declines of around 50% since 2018. BTC is exposed to a broader risk-asset sell-off due to rising…